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Prediction for CME (2026-06-06T14:11:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2026-06-06T14:11Z
DONKI Link: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/46690/-1
CME Note: This CME is visible as a southeast partial halo in SOHO LASCO C2/C3 and GOES CCOR-1 imagery, and is seen to the east in STEREO A COR2 imagery. The source is an eruption and M1.8 flare from Active Region 14461 (S22E24) starting around 2025-06-06T13:45Z as seen in SDO AIA 131/171/193/304, GOES SUVI 131/171/195/284/304, and STEREO A EUVI 195/304 imagery. An opening of field lines is visible over the southeast limb in STEREO A EUVI 195 imagery, and a large EUV wave and dimming is observed surrounding the eruption site in SDO AIA 193 and GOES SUVI 195/284 imagery. Additionally, post eruptive arcades are visible in SDO AIA 171/193 and GOES SUVI 171/105 imagery starting around 2026-06-06T15:00Z.
CME Arrival Time: -----
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: -----

Predicted Arrival Time: 2026-06-08T16:00Z
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (KSWC)
Prediction Method Note:

KSWC ENLIL settings:
ENLIL version: 2.7e
Resolution: low (256x30x90)
Ambient settings: a5b1
WSA version: 2.2


CME input parameters
Time at 21.5Rs boundary: 2026-06-06 17:33
Radial velocity (km/s): 1060.4
Longitude (deg): -24.4
Latitude (deg): 0.5
Half-angular width (deg): 50.5

Notes:

Lead Time: 38.53 hour(s)
Difference: -----
Prediction submitted by RWC KSWC (KASA) on 2026-06-07T01:28Z

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